Crazy hand AA V KK V QQ

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Re: Crazy hand AA V KK V QQ

Postby mr_smooth81 » Mon Apr 12, 2010 1:41 pm

have only seen this once

aa vs kk vs qq (and i think vs jj too)

flop came q j x (all suited to my ace), turn k, river suited card to complete my flush

i'll post the screenshot when i get home, it completely astounded me

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Re: Crazy hand AA V KK V QQ

Postby Torak » Tue Apr 13, 2010 1:55 pm

Had one last week in venue

Final table 3 handed (had lasted longer than the entire FT did)

Button(Me, mid stack) AQ raise all in
SB(Short stack) calls JJ
BB(Chip leader) fist pump snaps AA

Flop - 2, 6, j
Turn - Q
River - Q

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Re: Crazy hand AA V KK V QQ

Postby David » Tue Apr 13, 2010 1:56 pm

So JJ held up
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Re: Crazy hand AA V KK V QQ

Postby bennymacca » Tue Apr 13, 2010 1:57 pm

so SB won the hand?
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Re: Crazy hand AA V KK V QQ

Postby maccatak11 » Tue Apr 13, 2010 3:03 pm

Please tell me button did not get awarded the pot
Riskers gamble, experts calculate.

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Re: Crazy hand AA V KK V QQ

Postby AJG » Tue Apr 13, 2010 8:10 pm

maccatak11 wrote:Getting dealt 2 red kings three times in a row.

2/52 x 1/51 = 1/1326 (this is the probability of getting dealt two red kings once)

Getting dealt your hand three times in a row

1/1326 x 1/1326 x 1/1326 = 1/239,125,536

So its one in 239 million, 125 thousand, 536.

Or a 0.00000042% chance.


Umm, I thought you didnt count odds of getting them 1st time?

You get ANY hand... Odds dont mean anything yet
Odds you get the same cards next hand...

2/52 * 1/51 = 3/2652 (accounting for different ordering possible of your cards).

So odds you get same hand twice in a row is 3/2652.

Odds 3 times in a row = (3/2652)^2
= 9 / 7033104
= 1.28 e-6 = roughly 1 in a million.

Edit: Yeah, ok asking before you get the hand is different

Regarding that last hand, am I missing something, why would button win?
Last edited by AJG on Tue Apr 13, 2010 8:29 pm, edited 3 times in total.
Image ...11.59% of bad beat stories are just misplayed hands ...

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Re: Crazy hand AA V KK V QQ

Postby David » Tue Apr 13, 2010 8:14 pm

But asking the question before you get them as opposed to after you get them once, is two different things.
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Re: Crazy hand AA V KK V QQ

Postby maccatak11 » Wed Apr 14, 2010 12:03 am

This was the odds of getting a specific hand 3 times in a row (i.e. two red kings), not the odds of getting ANY specific hand three times in a row. That was the question anyway.
Riskers gamble, experts calculate.

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David
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Re: Crazy hand AA V KK V QQ

Postby David » Wed Apr 14, 2010 12:36 am

The odds of kings, or any other specific hand three times in a row is the same though
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Re: Crazy hand AA V KK V QQ

Postby Torak » Thu Apr 15, 2010 12:54 am

Everything was fine

SB won the hand and tripled up, i got the side pot and didn't lose anything, BB lost half his stack.

Everyone then had the exact same chip stacks


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