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Later Stages of Cake $4k guarantee (2 hands)
Posted: Tue May 25, 2010 5:58 pm
by gmatical
Excuse my crude format
Hand #1
Blinds $2.5k/$5k/500 ante
18 left from 207 players
Folded around to me.............
SB (Me) $65K Holding KK
BB $22K ??
BB has 20% of his stack in with the blind, is the shortest stack of the 18 left.
Should I shove hoping to get a sigh/call (with any 2) because of his stack size, or call hoping he catches some piece of the flop and stacks off.
What's YOUR standard play here and why?
Hand #2
Blinds $2.5k/$5k/500 ante
14 left from 207 players
UTG (??) Stack $16K Shoves ALL IN
Folded around to me.........
No SB
BB (Me) Stack $??K 7 h 3 d
I hate when I 'have to call' but understand there sometimes are situations where I must. How big does my stack need to be to call with such junk?
Re: Later Stages of Cake $4k guarantee (2 hands)
Posted: Tue May 25, 2010 6:07 pm
by bennymacca
hand 1
i like shoving with any 2 here most of the time. and as such, i would shove KK as well. i basically never limp the sb when its blind vs blind, i either raise or fold.
so i would just go ahead and put him all in and hope he calls.
hand 2.
got a few thoughts, want to run a few stoves though, so i will get back to you on that later tonight
Re: Later Stages of Cake $4k guarantee (2 hands)
Posted: Tue May 25, 2010 6:09 pm
by bennymacca
sorry gmatical, what is the second hand?
K7?
Re: Later Stages of Cake $4k guarantee (2 hands)
Posted: Tue May 25, 2010 6:13 pm
by maccatak11
the second hand is 7 3. his stack is unknown and the discussion is on how big it would need to be.
1st hand is an easy shove, but second hand is a good discussion i think. i might have a good think about it and post something when i get home from footy.
Later Stages of Cake $4k guarantee (2 hands)
Posted: Tue May 25, 2010 6:31 pm
by AceLosesKing
Hand 1: shove.
Hand 2: fold.
I'll go into detail later, not home ATM.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Re: Later Stages of Cake $4k guarantee (2 hands)
Posted: Tue May 25, 2010 6:50 pm
by gmatical
maccatak11 wrote:the second hand is 7 3. his stack is unknown and the discussion is on how big it would need to be.
Correct - off suit too!!
Re: Later Stages of Cake $4k guarantee (2 hands)
Posted: Tue May 25, 2010 7:33 pm
by bennymacca
sorry, but in the second hand, whose stack size is unknown? ours or UTG?
i see a 16k there but im not 100% on who it refers to
Re: Later Stages of Cake $4k guarantee (2 hands)
Posted: Tue May 25, 2010 7:41 pm
by muzzington
UTG's stack is 16k compared to the 5k big blind, but big blinds stack is unknown.
I think with there being no SB I'd probably fold unless I had a very comfortable chip stack.
Re: Later Stages of Cake $4k guarantee (2 hands)
Posted: Tue May 25, 2010 8:47 pm
by gmatical
muzzington wrote:UTG's stack is 16k compared to the 5k big blind, but big blinds stack is unknown.
I think with there being no SB I'd probably fold unless I had a very comfortable chip stack.
What is your figure that you consider it okay to call with?
I will reveal what I did and why after hearing y'all opinion on what you would be.
Mathmatics may produce a 'correct' figure - but this could vary from one person to another based on their style, how they feel etc. I wonder if we agree or share very different opinions.
Re: Later Stages of Cake $4k guarantee (2 hands)
Posted: Tue May 25, 2010 11:30 pm
by maccatak11
so in hand 2 we need 11k to call and win a pot of approx 27k (we dont know how many people are on the table, so not sure how many antes).
So we are getting almost 2.5 to 1 to call here, but we have no information on the all in player - are they a nit? are they shoving with ATC?).
Lets assume they are a standard TAG and have waited to shove the top 15% of hands.
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 28.035% 27.68% 00.35% 92904409 1184014.00 { 7c3d }
Hand 1: 71.965% 71.61% 00.35% 240339147 1184014.00 { 77+, A7s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QJo }
So even here its a pretty marginal call.
Obviously as the all in players range widens it becomes more of a call.
BUT, i think what gmatical is asking, is although we have what amounts to be a mathematical call, should we always make it? What does our stack size need to be before we make the call?
So its a cash game call, but this could turn into a good discussion about tournament equity.
I could post a few good tables and graphs from "Kill everyone" about equilibrium plays, but im buggered if i can understand half of them. I might read it again.
Do we call if its for half our stack? All of our stack? only a certain percentage of our stack?